This match-up starts on Saturday, January 5, 2019 – 00:00 UTC+8.
OG will play their first match at the WePlay! Dota 2 Winter Madness on Saturday afternoon against the squad who fought through their through the group stage, Vega Squadron.
OG announced yesterday that Pajkatt is no longer with their squad. At the time of publishing, they have not yet announced who is going to replace him for this match-up. Our guess is that Ana might come back and play with them since this is online tournament.
Vega Squadron played four matches in the group stage in this tournament. Their opponents were Pavaga Gaming, NoPangolier, Team Spirit and Kaipi.
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They only obtained one score by taking down Kaipi in the group stage. We knew that Vega Squadron features a lot of tier 1 players such as Madara, Mage, Khezzu and Maybe Next TIme. Although Peksu is not rated as highly as them, this team should be good enough to make themselves a tier 1 team if they able to perform better synergy within the squad.
Analysing all the draft in the group stage, we think that their drafting ability is quite good, but their ability to carry their plan according to the draft was the problem.
They drafted Phantom Assassin, Sladar and Shadow Fiend in their match-up against NoPangolier in the group. This draft was considered a good draft because they can reduce the enemies armor a lot.
However, NoPangolier out-played them because Sladar was being harassed throughout the whole game, he could not purchase the Blink Dagger and initiate on enemies.
In their match-up against Pavaga Gaming on 30 December 2018, they also made a good draft by picking Nyx Assassin and Outworld Destroyer to counter the Medusa from enemy team.
However, they incapable to control and pressure Medusa in the game. Medusa reached level 25 and went into a beast mode thanks to his level 25 talent – Split Shot Uses Modifiers.
He can zone out enemies support and low health point core heroes in team fight without focusing on them with this talent.
Vega Squadron have much to do in bonding their synergy.
OG vs. Vega Squadron betting prediction
After analysing the drafting abilities and synergy of both squads, we give OG a 60% chance to win this match-up.
Considering OG have yet announce their replacement for Pajkatt, our recommendation is to go low and bet on OG to win the game at better than -625 at BetOnline.