RLCS 2026 Paris Major betting tips – Thursday, May 21

Rocket League betting continues at the RLCS 2026 Paris Major on Thursday, May 21, with another packed day of best-of-five group-stage matches. Gentle Mates, Spacestation Gaming, Twisted Minds, Ninjas in Pyjamas, NRG Esports, Team Vitality, Karmine Corp, Shopify Rebellion, FURIA Esports and MIBR are all in action as the race for playoff spots heats up in Paris.

At EsportBet, readers can also compare odds, markets and bookmaker offers through the top best esports betting sites.

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GENTLE MATES vs SPACESTATION GAMING

Best Odds	Gentle Mates -285.71 at BetOnline | Spacestation Gaming +190 at SportsBetting
When	May 21, 2026 | Group stage
Watch Live	Rocket League, RLEsports

Gentle Mates have the stronger home-event case, and the opening win over FURIA was exactly the kind of start they needed.

Spacestation Gaming also opened well, so this is not a free hit for the French side. The difference is that Gentle Mates looked sharper in how quickly they turned pressure into goals, and that matters in a BO5 where one fast two-game lead can put the whole series on rails. SSG have enough defensive quality to make it tight, but M8 still look the cleaner pick.

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TWISTED MINDS vs NINJAS IN PYJAMAS

Best Odds	Twisted Minds -153.85 at BetOnline | Ninjas in Pyjamas +110 at SportsBetting
When	May 21, 2026 | Group stage
Watch Live	Rocket League, RLEsports

Ninjas in Pyjamas are the more appealing price in a match that should be closer than the market suggests.

Twisted Minds have enough attacking pop to justify favouritism, but NiP have already shown they can handle tight group-stage pressure. This is the sort of Rocket League matchup where the first two games can completely change the read, and at plus money, NiP do not need to be clearly better. They just need to keep the series in that awkward fourth- or fifth-game lane.

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GENTLE MATES vs R8 ESPORTS

Best Odds	Gentle Mates -1666.67 at BetOnline | R8 Esports +600 at SportsBetting
When	May 21, 2026 | Group stage
Watch Live	Rocket League, RLEsports

R8 Esports are a big swing, but Gentle Mates at -1666.67 is not a useful betting number.

M8 should win this match far more often than not, especially with the crowd behind them and the cleaner start to the group. The issue is purely the price. In Rocket League, a few kick-off goals, one hot shooting game, or a messy overtime can turn a heavy favourite into a stressful bet quickly. R8 need a lot to go right, but the payout is the only one that makes sense.

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NRG ESPORTS vs MANCHESTER CITY ESPORTS

Best Odds	NRG Esports -312.5 at BetOnline | Manchester City Esports +210 at SportsBetting
When	May 21, 2026 | Group stage
Watch Live	Rocket League, RLEsports

Manchester City Esports are the value play at this number.

NRG deserve respect, but this price feels too wide for a matchup between two teams that have both started well in Group B. Man City have already shown they can play clean, organised Rocket League under LAN pressure, and at +210, the market is still treating them like a much bigger outsider than the group form suggests.

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TWISTED MINDS vs TSM

Best Odds	Twisted Minds -5000 at BetOnline | TSM +900 at SportsBetting
When	May 21, 2026 | Group stage
Watch Live	Rocket League, RLEsports

TSM are the only possible betting side here because -5000 on Twisted Minds is unusable.

Twisted Minds are expected to handle this, but the market has given them no room for error. TSM need a huge performance, yet Rocket League can punish even a small lapse in rotation or boost control. This is not a safe underdog tip, but it is the only price in the match that gives anything back for taking the risk.

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TEAM VITALITY vs FUT ESPORTS

Best Odds	Team Vitality -769.23 at BetOnline | FUT Esports +400 at SportsBetting
When	May 21, 2026 | Group stage
Watch Live	Rocket League, RLEsports

FUT Esports are worth the upset swing while Vitality sit below the usual cutoff.

Vitality have the name, the ceiling and the French-stage factor, but -769.23 is asking for near-perfection in a BO5. FUT have enough structure to make this more awkward than the price suggests, especially if they can slow Vitality’s transition game and force longer defensive stands.

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KARMINE CORP vs WILDCARD

Best Odds	Karmine Corp -2000 at BetOnline | Wildcard +650 at SportsBetting
When	May 21, 2026 | Group stage
Watch Live	Rocket League, RLEsports

Wildcard are a longshot, but Karmine Corp are far too short to touch at -2000.

KC should be winning this in most versions of the series. They are one of the teams expected to push deep in Paris, and Wildcard need an almost perfect start to make it interesting. The problem is that the favourite price leaves no value at all. Wildcard at least offers a proper return if the match turns into a strange, high-pressure BO5.

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NINJAS IN PYJAMAS vs SHOPIFY REBELLION

Best Odds	Ninjas in Pyjamas -117.65 at BetOnline | Shopify Rebellion -117.65 at SportsBetting
When	May 21, 2026 | Group stage
Watch Live	Rocket League, RLEsports

Shopify Rebellion get the narrow nod in a proper coin-flip match.

There is no pricing edge to hide behind here, so it comes down to who looks better suited to the shape of the series. Shopify have already shown they can handle tight games in this group, and that matters against a NiP side that can be dangerous but also gets dragged into frantic stretches. At even money, Shopify’s ability to stay composed late is enough to lean their way.

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SHOPIFY REBELLION vs TSM

Best Odds	Shopify Rebellion -3333.33 at BetOnline | TSM +800 at SportsBetting
When	May 21, 2026 | Group stage
Watch Live	Rocket League, RLEsports

TSM are the only side with any betting value while Shopify sit at -3333.33.

Shopify should be the better team, but there is no reason to force a favourite that short in a BO5. TSM’s path is narrow, but it exists: steal early momentum, make Shopify chase kick-offs and boost, and try to turn the series into one of those Rocket League matches where every one-goal game feels chaotic.

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R8 ESPORTS vs FURIA ESPORTS

Best Odds	R8 Esports +115 at BetOnline | FURIA Esports -161.29 at SportsBetting
When	May 21, 2026 | Group stage
Watch Live	Rocket League, RLEsports

FURIA look like the better side to trust in a match both teams badly need.

R8 have the tools to make this awkward, but FURIA’s ceiling is still higher if they settle into their attacking rhythm. The opener against Gentle Mates was a tough spot, and this is a much more realistic chance to get the group back on track. At -161.29, the favourite is playable without being too short.

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SPACESTATION GAMING vs FURIA ESPORTS

Best Odds	Spacestation Gaming -153.85 at BetOnline | FURIA Esports +110 at SportsBetting
When	May 21, 2026 | Group stage
Watch Live	Rocket League, RLEsports

Spacestation Gaming have the sturdier profile in this matchup.

FURIA are dangerous if they get the match moving at their pace, but SSG have shown a little more control through the early group play. In a BO5 between two teams that can both produce high-tempo stretches, the side that defends cleaner and avoids cheap double-commits usually has the edge. That points toward Spacestation at the current price.

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MIBR vs FIVE FEARS

Best Odds	MIBR -769.23 at BetOnline | Five Fears +400 at SportsBetting
When	May 21, 2026 | Group stage
Watch Live	Rocket League, RLEsports

Five Fears are a speculative play, but MIBR are too short for a match between two teams still chasing a real foothold in the group.

MIBR should be favoured, but -769.23 feels very thin in a BO5 where both sides have had rough moments. Five Fears need to tidy up the defensive end and find more consistent pressure, but the underdog price is big enough to justify the risk if this turns into a scrappy survival match.

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