LoL European Championship betting tips & predictions | 20/02/21

ESB’s free esports betting predictions for Saturday focus on four League of Legends European Championship (LEC) Spring fixtures, including Excel vs Astralis, Misfits vs SK Gaming, Fnatic vs MAD Lions and Schalke 04 vs G2 Esports. Here are our best bets for those bouts and top odds courtesy of BetOnline.

After four weeks of play, Excel are tied-fourth in the LEC Spring standings with a 5-4 record, which sits them right next to Schalke 04 and MAD Lions. Astralis proved to be far less successful with seven losses in their last nine outings, which includes a fairly one-sided defeat against Excel at the end of January.

Last time out, Excel were priced at $1.61 to win and considering they have since improved, it makes sense to see them priced at even shorter odds. That said, Astralis have shown some improvement as well, which is why we don’t see a reason why they should be priced as high as they are.

The arrival of Carl Felix “MagiFelix” Boström to Astralis seems to have introduced some stability and even though they will need a bit more time to fix all their issues, Astralis are not nearly as weak as the betting odds suggest.

The second fixture of the day will serve us with a mid-table brawl between Misfits Gaming and SK Gaming, who have already met during the second week of LEC Spring. SK won that game with 19-5 in kills and 11k gold lead, however, they’re still priced as underdogs for the rematch.

Misfits enter this match with a 3-6 record and only one win in their last six outings (1-5). What’s more, their sole win in that stretch has happened against Astralis, which is hardly worth celebrating, especially considering SK were just as successful against the same team not too long ago.

The Bunnies might have a higher ceiling, but they’re still very inconsistent. Despite being underdogs, SK can cause an upset here.

After a disastrous start of the season, Fnatic have seemingly found their formula to success which was right in front of them from the get-go. This team has been showing some sort of aggression from the start of the season, but it took them two weeks to polish their playstyle, which has since earned them four consecutive wins.

Fnatic average the highest average kills/game (19.56) in the league, while their games on average produce 34.29 kills. MAD Lions are similar in a way that they also average a fairly high number of kills in their games (13.33 KPG, 27.57 TKPG), as well as 0.90 total kills per minute – second only to Fnatic (1.14).

Until Fnatic start showing signs of slowing down, we will continue to believe they can win this match with ease, but there are better betting markets to explore. The Top LoL betting sites are offering $1.89 on this game ending with at least 31 kills, which is one of the highest total kill lines we have seen thus far, however, we have to note that all but one of Fnatic’s last four games ended with at least 30 kills – except for a 28-kill game against G2 – and we don’t see why this one will be any different.

G2 Esports have choked a couple of times this season, but with Martin “Rekkles” Larsson slowly getting comfortable as their new ADC, it’s only a matter of time before the reigning LEC champions reach their full potential.

G2 still have issues in draft and at times look like they’re a bit too relaxed on the Rift, however, it’s hard not to be excited about this team following their impressive win against Rogue last week. Their next opponents, Schalke 04 did slip up last week, dropping games against Astralis and MAD Lions, but they have proven before just how potent they can be when they took down Rogue, G2 and Misfits.

Despite S04’s immaculate run though weeks 2-3, they’re still a class below G2, who shouldn’t be dropping games like this – at least not twice in one split.