R6S NAL 2022 Stage 3 betting picks – Tuesday, September 27

ESB is back with free Rainbow Six Siege tips for three North American League 2022 Stage 3 bouts on Tuesday, September 27. Check out our selections for Astralis vs Parabellum Esports, Oxygen Esports vs TSM, and DarkZero Esports vs Spacestation Gaming, with R6S esports betting odds courtesy of BetOnline.

Parabellum Esports entered Playday 3 hot after back-to-back wins against Oxygen Esports (4-7) and XSET (7-5), but they were no match for Spacestation Gaming, who took them to Border and won 7-3. Unfortunately, Parabellum did not look much better last week when they lost against DarkZero (5-7) on Kafe.

Evidently, Parabellum have lost their momentum, so it’s fair to doubt them ahead of their clash against Astralis, who are trending in the opposite direction. Astralis started the third stage of North American League 0-2 with defeats against DarkZero (6-8) and Mirage (4-7), but they bounced back last week with wins against TSM (7-4) and beastcoast (8-6).

Despite their hot streak, Astralis have not looked too clean as a unit. Roman “Forrest” Breaux has done most of the heavy lifting – particularly in the match against beastcoast, where he averaged a 1.86 rating – and it’s hard to back a team that relies so much on a single player.

Astralis have been playing better lately, but we wouldn’t bet on them at -227.27. These are still two evenly matched teams talent-wise, so we’ll take over 11.5 rounds at -125.

Oxygen Esports are 0-4 with defeats against Parabellum Esports (4-7), Spacestation Gaming (7-8), Mirage (4-7), and XSET, who beat them 7-2 last Wednesday. With four defeats, Oxygen’s chances of reaching the Major are essentially gone, which should relieve them of some pressure knowing that they don’t have anything more to fight for. Reportedly, the players are looking to swap roles for the remainder of the competition, so we’ll have to wait and see how it plays out.

TSM, meanwhile, are 3-0-0-1 after four days of play, which sits them atop the standings, tied with Soniqs with nine points. Last week, they suffered their first defeat of the stage against Astralis (4-7), but they bounced back in style with a 7-3 victory against Soniqs. Although Soniqs had an uncharacteristically poor performance on the day, it’s hard to ignore how good TSM have been playing over the last two weeks.

At the offered Rainbow Six Siege betting odds, it’s hard not to bet on TSM to win. They might be overperforming, but TSM have definitely shown more than Oxygen Esports.

DarkZero Esports picked up two wins last week, taking down beastcoast (7-4) and Parabellum Esports (7-5). There were some close moments in both games, but DarkZero came through and closed out the deal to go 2-1-0-1 on the stage.

Spacestation Gaming were just as successful last week, with wins against Parabellum Esports (7-3) and Mirage (8-6). Although you could argue that going into overtime against Mirage doesn’t look good, we must acknowledge that Mirage are performing much better than expected.

DarkZero and Spacestation Gaming are 1-1 in the head-to-head this season. DarkZero won the first meeting in NAL Stage 1 (7-5) but lost the rematch in June (2-7). Since then, the teams have achieved similar success, and there isn’t much to separate them based on their showings in NAL Stage 3.

This seems like a coin-flip match, so we have to side with Spacestation Gaming at outsider odds.


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