VALORANT Esports World Cup 2025 group-stage decider betting picks

The VALORANT Esports World Cup 2025 kicked off with 16 teams vying for playoff spots, but now only four remain in the group-stage deciders. Each best-of-three match on Thursday, July 10, will determine which team joins the quarter-final bracket — and which is eliminated from the $1.25 million tournament.

Here are our VALORANT betting picks for the last round of group-stage action, with odds courtesy of the top bookmakers in United States.

Don’t forget to check the Day 2 recap before diving into today’s action: Esports World Cup 2025 Day 2 Recap

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  Fast Payouts

KARMINE CORP vs BILIBILI GAMING

Group A Decider Match
Winner advances to the playoffs | Loser is eliminated

Best Odds: KC -181.82 at BetOnline | BLG +135 at BetOnline
When: July 10, 2025 | 12:00 AST
Watch Live: Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/ewc)

Karmine Corp shocked G2 on opening day before falling to Paper Rex. With their tactical discipline and structure, KC have shown they can hang with top-tier teams.

Bilibili Gaming bounced back from a narrow loss to PRX by eliminating G2 in a tight three-map series. Their map pool is expanding, and they’re peaking at the right time.

KC have the edge in prep, but BLG’s momentum is real.

Bilibili Gaming to win
+135 at BetOnline

DRX vs SENTINELS

Group B Decider Match
Winner advances to the playoffs | Loser is eliminated

Best Odds: DRX -166.67 at BetOnline | SEN +125 at BetOnline
When: July 10, 2025 | 13:00 AST
Watch Live: Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/ewc)

DRX looked sharp in their opening win over XLG and pushed BBL to the brink in their upper bracket match. They’re as disciplined as ever and thrive in long series.

Sentinels showed resilience to survive their elimination match, but still looked shaky in mid-round situations. Against a team like DRX, any lapse will be punished.

Expect a tight contest, but DRX’s consistency gives them the edge.

DRX to win
-166.67 at BetOnline

REX REGUM QEON vs TEAM HERETICS

Group C Decider Match
Winner advances to the playoffs | Loser is eliminated

Best Odds: RRQ -121.95 at BetOnline | TH -108.7 at BetOnline
When: July 10, 2025 | 14:00 AST
Watch Live: Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/ewc)

RRQ looked composed in their opener but couldn’t overcome NRG’s firepower in the winners match. Still, they’ve proven to be a solid and methodical team.

Heretics barely made it past Titan in their elimination bout, and while the European squad has pedigree, they’ve yet to fully convince on LAN.

This match could go the distance, but we lean slightly to the SEA side.

Rex Regum Qeon to win
-121.95 at BetOnline

GEN.G vs EDWARD GAMING

Group D Decider Match
Winner advances to the playoffs | Loser is eliminated

Best Odds: Gen.G -250 at BetOnline | EDG +180 at BetOnline
When: July 10, 2025 | 15:00 AST
Watch Live: Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/ewc)

Gen.G ran through EDG in the opening round and held their own in a close loss to Fnatic. Their defensive setups have been excellent, and their rotations are among the best in the field.

EDward Gaming looked far better in their elimination win over 100T, but their inconsistency continues to be a concern in high-pressure spots.

Gen.G handled this matchup once already, and they should do it again.

Gen.G to win
-250 at BetOnline